Federal Crosshairs on Prediction Markets: DOJ and CFTC Target George Santos Over Alleged Kalshi Insider Trading
Federal investigators are reportedly probing former U.S. Congressman George Santos for allegedly exploiting advance knowledge of his State of the Union appearance to profit on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market platform. The dual-agency investigation signals that U.S. regulators are now treating political prediction markets as serious financial instruments subject to insider trading frameworks. If charges materialize, this case could set a landmark precedent for how non-public political information is classified under commodities and securities law.